Synopsis
A series of choice points have made themselves available to the world's community of nations or mega-tribes for the 21st century. Will these communities make an attempt (1) to maximize incentives and minimize disincentives (rather than the reverse) for growing boys to enter into the role of social father and for already grown men to stay in that role? And (2) to encourage women to re-evaluate the net benefits/costs to abrading the social father from his child?
Raising an incompetent and dependent child into a competent, independent adult is not a sinecure.
Costs abound for the caretakers. Moral indignation that intones the mantra of “be more responsible” is probably not convincing to the target of the moral indignation. Whereas the release from “social fatherhood” may serve the ends for a particular individual, if occurring en masse across a community, the results might well be deleterious overall (see Hardin 1968) for the classic presentation of the dilemma between corporate and individual needs).Its own violent (young) men are one of the problems with which any organized society must deal [see Harris (1974, 1977) for discussion and examples]. The addition of an on-going social father seems to tamp down violence within a society. The erasing of such “fathers” is associated with increased rates of violent crime. To the extent that a society's fathers are systematically removed from the fathering role, the more that society ought to expect its level of violent crime to increase. Because there are no viable societies with any length of history that have had men, as a class, avoid the role of social father, no one has any idea on the competitive quotient that fatherless societies may have versus those societies which assume/mandate fatherhood. Neither data nor theory exists to constitute a store-house of knowledge on the viability of fatherless societies.
To date no such society has existed. A real experiment is currently being conducted within the laboratory of the U.S. and elsewhere. The hypothesis is being tacitly tested: “Are fathers supernumerary?” As in any other true experiment, the results are unknown until the final datum is tabulated.Notes
1. The avunculate, of course, more disperses authority and nurturing within a family. However, children within the avunculate also are expected to be born to a married woman.
2. The two rates—for illegitimacy (6.7) and for murder (38.7)—were also available for the Philippines. However, the Philippines’ murder rate of 38.7 was over 8.5 standard deviations (sd = 4.09) over the sample mean of 3.62. Accordingly, the Philippines was enough of an outlier to be excluded from the sample. If rankings were used to generate the correlation coefficient (rs) and if the Philippines is included in the sample, then the relationship between illegitimacy and murder rates is significant (rs =.889, p <.01; 2-tailed, n = 45). If the Philippines is not included in the sample, the correlation, based on ranks, is still significant (rs =.896, p <.01; 2-tailed, n = 44).
3. The rate of natural increase is found by subtracting (crude) death rates from (crude) birth rates.
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Appendix I
Rates of illegitimacy and rates of violent crime across states (U.S. Bureau of the Census 1992).
| State | Rate of illegitimacy[1] | Rate of violent crime[2] |
| Maine | 21.8 | 143 |
| New Hampshire | 15.7 | 132 |
| Vermont | 19.8 | 127 |
| Massachusetts | 23.8 | 736 |
| Rhode Island | 24.9 | 432 |
| Connecticut | 26.3 | 554 |
| New York | 31.9 | 1,181 |
| New Jersey | 24.1 | 648 |
| Pennsylvania | 27.9 | 431 |
| Ohio | 28.0 | 506 |
| Indiana | 23.8 | 474 |
| Illinois | 30.9 | 967 |
| Michigan | 24.5 | 790 |
| Wisconsin | 23.4 | 265 |
| Minnesota | 19.5 | 306 |
| Iowa | 19.4 | 300 |
| Missouri | 27.1 | 715 |
| North Dakota | 16.9 | 74 |
| South Dakota | 21.8 | 163 |
| Nebraska | 19.3 | 330 |
| Kansas | 19.6 | 448 |
| Delaware | 29.1 | 655 |
| Maryland | 28.9 | 919 |
| Virginia | 25.2 | 351 |
| West Virginia | 23.5 | 169 |
| North Carolina | 27.7 | 624 |
| South Carolina | 31.6 | 977 |
| Georgia | 31.7 | 756 |
| Florida | 30.2 | 1,244 |
| Kentucky | 22.6 | 390 |
| Tennessee | 29.1 | 670 |
| Alabama | 29.8 | 709 |
| Mississippi | 39.4 | 340 |
| Arkansas | 27.7 | 532 |
| Louisiana | 35.3 | 898 |
| Oklahoma | 23.8 | 547 |
| Texas | 19.6 | 761 |
| Montana | 21.7 | 159 |
| Idaho | 16.1 | 276 |
| Wyoming | 18.5 | 301 |
| Colorado | 20.5 | 526 |
| New Mexico | 34.5 | 780 |
State Rate of illegitimacy1 Rate of violent crime2
| Arizona Utah Nevada Washington California Alaska Hawaii (District of Columbia) | 30.8 652 12.7 284 23.5 601 23.4 502 30.0 1,045 24.6 525 23.8 281 (64.3) (2,458) |
1.
Births to unmarried women, percent of total births (1989)2. Offenses known to the police per 100,000 population (1990)
Appendix II
Rates of illegitimacy and murder across the United States (n = 50) (U.S. Bureau of the Census 1992) and across nations (n = 44) (Smith-Morris 1990, United Nations 1992).
| State | Illegitimacy[3] | Murder[4] |
| Alabama | bgcolor=white>29.811.6 | |
| Alaska | 24.6 | 7.5 |
| Arizona | 30.8 | 7.7 |
| Arkansas | 27.7 | 10.3 |
| California | 30.0 | 11.9 |
| Colorado | 20.5 | 4.2 |
| Connecticut | 26.3 | 5.1 |
| Delaware | 29.1 | 5.0 |
| Florida | 30.2 | 10.7 |
| Georgia | 31.7 | 11.2 |
| Hawaii | 23.8 | 4.0 |
| Idaho | 16.1 | 2.7 |
| Illinois | 30.9 | 10.3 |
| Indiana | 23.8 | 6.2 |
| Iowa | 19.4 | 1.9 |
| Kansas | 19.6 | 4.0 |
| Kentucky | 22.6 | 7.2 |
| Louisiana | 35.3 | 17.2 |
| Maine | 21.8 | 2.4 |
| Maryland | 28.9 | 11.5 |
| Massachusetts | 23.8 | 4.0 |
| Michigan | 24.5 | 10.4 |
| Minnesota | 19.5 | 2.7 |
| Mississippi | 39.4 | 12.2 |
| Missouri | 27.1 | 8.8 |
| Montana | 21.7 | 4.9 |
| Nebraska | 19.3 | 2.7 |
| Nevada | 23.5 | 9.7 |
| New Hampshire | 15.7 | 1.9 |
| New Jersey | 24.1 | 5.6 |
| New Mexico | 34.5 | 9.2 |
| New York | 31.9 | 14.5 |
| North Carolina | 27.7 | 10.7 |
| North Dakota | 16.9 | 0.8 |
| Ohio | 28.0 | 6.1 |
| Oklahoma | 23.8 | 8.0 |
| Pennsylvania | 27.9 | 6.7 |
| Rhode Island | 24.9 | 4.8 |
| South Carolina | 31.6 | 11.2 |
| South Dakota | 21.8 | 2.0 |
| Tennessee | 29.1 | 10.5 |
Texas 19.6 14.1
Utah 12.7 3.0
Vermont 19.8 2.3
| Virginia | 25.2 | 8.8 |
| Washington | 23.4 | 4.9 |
| (Washington, D.C.) | (64.3) | (77.8) |
| West Virginia | 23.5 | 5.7 |
| Wisconsin | 23.4 | 4.6 |
| Wyoming | 18.5 | 4.9 |
Country Illegitimacy1 Murder2
| Argentina | 32.5 | 0.2 |
| Australia | 15.5 | 4.2 |
| Austria | 22.4 | 1.3 |
| Bahamas | 62.1 | 12.2 |
| Barbados | 73.1 | 4.0 |
| Belgium | 5.7 | 3.1 |
| Brunei | 0.4 | 1.9 |
Canada 16.9 2.2
Chile 31.8 5.6
Costa Rica 37.2 4.0
Cyprus 0.4 1.7
Denmark 43.0 1.25
Fiji 17.3 2.0
Finland 16.4 1.1
France 19.6 4.05
Greece 1.8 0.85
| Hong Kong | 5.5 | 1.2 |
| Hungary | 9.2 | 2.3 |
| Ireland | 7.8 | 0.5 |
Israel 1.0 1.7
Italy 4.4 1.5
Jamaica 84.3 18.0
| Japan | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Luxembourg | 8.7 | 7.0 |
| Malta | 1.2 | 1.8 |
Mauritius 26.0 2.4
Mexico 27.5 7.4
Netherlands 8.3 1.2
New Zealand 24.9 2.9
Norway 25.8 0.9
Panama 71.9 4.6
Peru 42.6 1.2
| Portugal | 12.4 | 3.0 |
| South Korea | 0.5 | 1.3 |
| Spain | 3.9 | 2.3 |
| Sri Lanka | 5.4 | 18.9 |
| Sweden | 46.4 | 1.7 |
1. Births to unmarried women, percent of total births
2.
Offenses known to authorities per 100,00 population
| Violent Crime and the Loss of Fathers ♦ 79 | |
| Country Switzerland Tunisia U. K. U.S.A. Venezuela West Germany Yugoslavia | Illegitimacy[5] Murder[6] 5.6 0.9 0.3 0.7 19.2 1.3 21.0 8.6 53.9 8.4 9.4 1.5 8.4 5.4 |
Appendix III
Values for the three social indices: Percentage of all births born to single parent mothers, percentage of tertiary students who are females, and the ratio of female to male earnings (Smith-Morris, 1990; United Nations, 1985-1992).
| Country | % of single parent births | % female tertiary students | ratio of female to male earnings | ||
| Australia | 15.5 | bgcolor=white>491.00 | |||
| Belgium | 5.7 | 47 | .62 | ||
| Denmark | 43.0 | 50 | .84 | ||
| France | 19.6 | 51 | .81 | ||
| West Germany | 9.4 | 41 | .73 | ||
| Iceland | 47.1 | 54 | .90 | ||
| Japan | 1.0 | 37 | .52 | ||
| Luxembourg | 8.7 | 34 | .66 | ||
| Netherlands | 8.3 | 42 | .76 | ||
| New Zealand | 24.9 | 48 | .77 | ||
| Switzerland | 5.6 | 32 | .67 | ||
| United Kingdom | 19.2 | 46 | .695 | ||
| United States | 21.0 | 53 | .68 | ||
| Czechoslovakia | 6.8 | 42 | .68 | ||
| Hong Kong | 5.5 | 35 | .77 | ||
| South Korea | 0.5 | 30 | .48 | ||
| Sri Lanka | 5.4 | 41 | .71 | ||
| Cyprus | 0.4 | 49 | .585 | ||
| Egypt | 33 | .68 | |||
| Kenya | 26 | .85 | |||
| Costa Rica | 37.2 | .72 | |||
| Paraguay | 33.3 | .88 | |||
| Austria | 22.4 | 46 | |||
| Finland | 16.4 | 50 | |||
| Greece | 1.8 | 49 | |||
| Ireland | 7.8 | 43 | |||
| Italy | 4.4 | 47 | |||
| Norway | 25.8 | 51 | |||
| Portugal | 12.4 | 54 | |||
| Spain | 3.9 | 50 | |||
| Sweden | 46.4 | 53 | |||
| Bulgaria | 11.4 | 56 | |||
| East Germany | 33.8 | 52 | |||
| Hungary | 9.2 | 53 | |||
| Poland | 5.0 | 56 | |||
| Brunei | 0.4 | 51 | |||
| Fiji. | 17.3 | 35 | |||
| Philippines | 6.1 | 54 | |||
| Mauritius | 26.0 | 36 | |||
| Israel | 1.0 | 46 | |||
| Malta | 1.2 | 36 | |||
| Tunisia | 0.3 | 37 | |||
| Argentina | 32.5 | 53 | |||
| Country % of single parent births Bahamas 62.1 | % female tertiary students 70 | ||||
| Barbados 73.1 | 49 | ||||
| Bermuda 31.2 | 51 | ||||
| Chile 31.8 | 44 | ||||
| El Salvador 67.4 | 43 | ||||
| Mexico 27.5 | 36 | ||||
| Panama 71.9 | 58 | ||||
| Peru 42.6 | 35 | ||||
| Puerto Rico 26.5 | 60 | ||||
| Venezuela 53.9 | 47 | ||||