STOCK PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES
Stock portfolio management strategies are divided into two categories: passive and active management strategies (O’Shaughnessy, 2005, p. 1). Portfolio managers decide between these strategies according to the volume of the fund they govern and customer demands (Karan, 2004, p.
533).Passive Portfolio Management
Passive portfolio management is based on the Separation Theorem which accepts all forms of the Efficient Market Hypothesis (Mittra & Gassen, 1981, pp. 599-600). This Hypothesis accepts that the market is so efficient it is nearly impossible to create another portfolio superior to it because in an efficient market the share prices provide all necessary information. Therefore, it is perfectly clear there cannot be any single under-valued share and the the investors cannot obtain additional profit through insider information. Consequently, passive portfolio management argues that the investor cannot do anything better than to hold the market portfolio. Therefore, passive portfolio management essentially follows the principles of buy and hold. (French, 1989, p. 505). In this strategy, the profits of portfolios are monitored through comparisons with some particular market indexes (e.g., IMKB 100, S&P 500). In this strategy, surpassing the market is not considered. Passive portfolios have lower rate of turnover, transaction and administrative costs, and nonsystematic risk. However, this strategy does not permit an investor to take advantage of various markets and instruments which would provide additional profit.
Investors preferring passive portfolio management usually possess two types of passive management styles (Uludag, 2007, pp. 1-2):
• Buy and Hold Method.
• Indexing (Indeks Funds.)
Buy and Hold
In this method, the investors choose and buy assets (i.e., stocks and bonds) meeting their requirements which they hold for an extended period.
They also consider the maturities of the securities, so the maturity period is equal to the timeframe for which the investor wishes to hold. Using this strategy permits investors to obtain a relatively moderate profit with minimum risk instead of maximizing profits, so they do not change their portfolio compositions. According to the Efficient Market Hypothesis, share prices reflect all relevant information available, so it is meaningless to sell and buy the securities very often as this will not increase the portfolio’s performance; however, the action will increase transaction costs. Consequently, it is not reasonable to change the portfolio composition. In this context, the buy and hold strategy is usually preferred due to its lower tax liability and transaction costs (Uludag, 2007, p. 2). An additional advantage with this strategy is that investors do not contend with possible concerns of portfolio management (Strong, 2007, p. 431).Indexing
In this practical passive investment strategy, a market Index is selected (e.g., S&P 500) and the securities which will be included in the portfolio are decided according to that particular Index. The investment goes to the equity shares according to their percentage within the Index (²ÌÊÂ, 2008, 8). The goal is to obtain a profit which is equal or close to the one in the market Index. Because a certain Index is followed throughout the process in this strategy, it is called “Indexing” (Uludag, 2007, p. 2). Index funds are big portfolios created via buying a diversified share portfolio (French, 1989, p. 505).
The supporters of this strategy argue that when the market is efficient, the best estimated price of a security will be its own price, thus allowing the best diversification and eliminating nonsys- tematic risk. (Karan, 2004, p. 537). In the passive share portfolio management strategy, revaluation and rebalancing are performed only when the profit shares are intended to be reinvested, market portfolios, the investor’s utility function or risk preferences change, the selling is inevitable as there is a primary need for cash (Mittra & Gassen, 1981, pp.
599-600; French, 1989, p. 505; Reilly & Brown, 1999, p. 653). Of course, a passive investment strategy is not the only method. Many investors (particularly professional fund managers and institutional investors) believe the active investment strategies are the best alternative to beat the market (Mittra& Gassen, 1981, p. 603).In passive portfolio management strategies, reevaluation and rebalancing are performed only when the following conditions are in the question (Mittra & Gassen, 1981, pp. 599-600; French, 1989, p. 505; Reilly & Brown, 1999, p. 653):
• Dividends are intended to be reinvested.
• The market portfolios, the investor’s utility function and the risk preferences change.
• The selling of shares for a primary need for cash.
Active Portfolio Management
Active portfolio management strategies are based on the idea that the portfolio should be monitored closely to make value raising arrangements possible at anytime. From collecting information to the application process, the active management process requires constant and consistent observations as well as feedback concerning the performance of the investment (Grinold & Kahn, 2000, p. 8). The supporters of this strategy assume the market is not always efficient and there might always be under-valued equity shares. Thus, they believe that through systematic buying and selling it is possible to realize profit which is higher than that of the market (Bodie, Kane & Marcus, 2003, p. 597). The basic idea behind effective active management strategies is that of estimating the future well.
The primary goal of active portfolio management is to earn profit above that of the market portfolio profit (Reilly & Brown, 1999, p. 660), meaning the investor assumes higher risk as well as additional transaction costs. Therefore, active portfolio managers should possess unique skills such as forecasting the future accurately on a consistent basis, correctly estimating under-valued shares, and precisely determining risk-profit positions.
An investment manager uses security analysis to create an active portfolio (Bodie, Kane, & Marcus, 2003, p. 712), employing the following 7-step process (Mittra & Gassen, 1981, pp. 604-612):• Construct the Stock Universe: Stock universe refers to the group of all stocks being traded in the market. Investors first select the desired sector(s) which the portfolio manager will then administer by determining the stocks that will be added to the portfolio through analysis.
• The Expected Return: The present values of stocks are identified before employing basic analysis techniques regarding the economy, sector(s), companies, and estimated future profits. The holding period profit is also calculated.
• Stock Beta: Presently many financial institutions publish their stocks by calculating their stock beta. A stock analyst collects and subsequently calculates the beta of the stocks from available sources.
• Security Market Line Construction: Stocks are first divided into two categories from lowest to highest risk. Then, the stocks are spotted on a grap according to their risk level. The dots are then merged forming a line called the Stock Market Line (SML). This method permits detection of under- and over-valued stocks.
• The Decision Band: SML is actually used as a decision line. An active portfolio manager includes the under-valued stocks while excluding over-valued ones.
• Investor’s Risk Preference: The portfolio manager identifies the investor’s risk preferences before constructing the portfolio by classifying the investor as a risk taker or as risk averse according to the investor’s income, psychological structure, and risk preferences. Considering these facts allows the manager to decide which stocks will be added to the portfolio. For better diversification, it is necessary to examine the stocks from different sectors.
• Portfolio Construction: In this final stage, the manager constructs the portfolio considering the investor’s resources and preferences by randomly selecting stocks or via special computer software.
Active portfolio managers are inclined to construct riskier portfolios to obtain higher profits than those of the market portfolio by increasing portfolio performance through timely detection of under-valued stocks. Recently, one of the most remarkable changes in portfolio management was the development of Value and Growth-focused investments (Uludag, 2007, p. 2). The overview structure of portfolio management is shown in Figure 2 (Elton & Gruber, 1995, p. 688):
Investors should decide between Indexing inherently possessing lower costs and risks with active portfolio management inherently possessing higher costs and returns (Reilly & Brown, 1999, p. 653). The most important factor in selecting the most appropriate method is the portfolio managers’ decision making skills. Passive management strategies are preferred less often when management skills are high (Sorensen, Miller, & Samak, 1998).