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Answers to Analyzing Data 11.1 Questions

1.

Year r
1 0.00028
400 0.00037
800 0.00123
1200 0.00094
1550 0.00252
1825 0.00660
1930 0.0135
1960 0.0178
1999 0.0123
2010 0.0113
2016 0.0155
2019 (N/A)

2.

Based on a value of r = 0.0155 and a population size of 7.35 billion in

2016, we can use Equation 11.4 to estimate the population size in 2066:

3. The calculations in Question 2 assume that the human population is growing exponentially and that the exponential growth rate, r, remains constant and equal to 0.0155 from 2016 to 2066. However, the answer to Question 1 indicates that r reached a maximum value (0.0178) in 1960 and has declined since that time, although it has risen from 2010 to 2016. If r continues to decline from the 1960 value, it is unlikely that the human population will reach 15.9 billion in 2066.

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Source: Bowman W., Hacker S.. Ecology. 6th ed. — Oxford University Press,2023. — 744 p.. 2023

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